New Onset and Persistent Symptoms of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Self Reported After Deployment and Combat Exposures: Prospective Population Based U.S. Military Cohort

To describe new onset and persistence of self-reported post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms in a large population based military cohort, many of whom were deployed in support of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Design: Prospective cohort analysis. Setting and participants: Survey enrolment data from the millennium cohort (July 2001 to June 2003) obtained before the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Follow-up (June 2004 to February 2006) data on health outcomes collected from 50,184 participants. Main outcome measures: Self reported post-traumatic stress disorder as measured by the post-traumatic stress disorder checklist—civilian version using Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fourth edition criteria. Results: More than 40% of the cohort were deployed between 2001 and 2006; between baseline and follow-up, 24% deployed for the first time in support of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. New incidence rates of 10-13 cases of post-traumatic stress disorder per 1000 person years occurred in the millennium cohort. New onset self-reported post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms or diagnosis were identified in 7.6-8.7% of deployers who reported combat exposures, 1.4-2.1% of deployers who did not report combat exposures, and 2.3-3.0% of non-deployers. Among those with self-reported symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder at baseline, deployment did not affect persistence of symptoms. Conclusions: After adjustment for baseline characteristics, these prospective data indicate a threefold increase in new onset self-reported post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms or diagnosis among deployed military personnel who reported combat exposures. The findings define the importance of post-traumatic stress disorder in this population and emphasise that specific combat exposures, rather than deployment itself, significantly affect the onset of symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder after deployment.